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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | txwd9991 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 90% (134–15, n=149) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $4.1M | -$18K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #915 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (75 of 109 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 96% of 142 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 63% (won 94% of 89) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 37% (won 98% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.