← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 54% (278–239, n=517) | 50% (1053–1054, n=2107) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $42K | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #283 | PM monthly #61 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (36 of 53 open) | 65% (61 of 94 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=82 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 50% of 455 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 15% of 175) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 52% of 71) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 16% (won 58% of 73) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 30% (won 90% of 136) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $279K | Yes $1.5K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $7.6K | Yes $572 | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.6K | Yes $22 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2 | Yes $2.5K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $241K | Yes $5.8K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $50K | Yes $20 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.8K | Yes $7.7K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $845 | No $5.3K | — |