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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | groth | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 65% (264–140, n=404) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $152K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #505 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 63% (36 of 57 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 325 at avg 59¢, ROI +10% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 28% (won 18% of 91) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 7% (won 61% of 23) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 15% (won 88% of 48) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 50% (won 98% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | groth | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $265K | — | Jaguars $21K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $175K | — | Jaguars $1.5K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $601 | — | Jaguars $3.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.3K | — | Jaguars $174 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $510 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $287 | — | Ravens $2.8K |