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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 63% (114–68, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $14.8M | -$42K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #880 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $8.2K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $194K | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | Jaguars $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.1K | Jaguars $180 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $92K | Ravens $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $2.0K | Warriors $520 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $293 | Ravens $636 | — |