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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | Kaczka | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 52% (417–383, n=800) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $17K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (78 of 112 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 85% of 531 at avg 56¢, ROI +23% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 73% of 117) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 62% (won 89% of 329) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.