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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlegrandebigFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market93% (1480–114, n=1594)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)63% (993–576, n=1569)
Consensus PnL—-$8.2K$3.6M$4.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #834PM monthly #10PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position93% (27 of 29 open)78% (96 of 123 open)68% (52 of 77 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Finance −2 pts, n=113Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—94% of 1370 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 12% of 33)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 46% of 41)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 62% of 50)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 99% of 1246)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlegrandebigFlaznorpndb1
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $5—No $42K
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $781—No $29K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $495—Yes $525