PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x51A47545d367d39ef11f9b2aB70a458c2B4fAB73-1770660706727RN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11876–12683, n=24559)45% (502–616, n=1118)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$11.1M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #915PM monthly #16 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)50% (3 of 6 open)70% (23 of 33 open)52% (13 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won67% of 3 at avg 21¢, ROI +44%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢67% (won 50% of 2)10% (won 56% of 2463)10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5333)35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 99% of 176)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up0%31% (won 100% of 7366)20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x51A47545d367d39ef11f9b2aB70a458c2B4fAB73-1770660706727RN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Pohang Steelers
—FC Pohang Steelers $80—FC Pohang Steelers $4.6K
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Talia Gibson $2.2K—Talia Gibson $94