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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)59% (1042–739, n=1781)56% (13275–10642, n=23917)64% (1102–633, n=1735)47% (1405–1574, n=2979)
Consensus PnL$287K$1.4M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #888PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus75% (165 of 220 open)71% (91 of 128 open)73% (71 of 97 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7Flaznorpndb1primm
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $24K—
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—Yes $1.7K—