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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (1040–738, n=1778)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$287K$4.1M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #840PM monthly #9PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus80% (177 of 220 open)73% (145 of 199 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7Flaznorpndb1
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $24K
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—Yes $1.7K