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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208FlaznorpprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)94% (98–6, n=104)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$92K$1.4M$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948PM monthly #14PM monthly #41PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)66% (89 of 135 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won94% of 109 at avg 94¢, ROI +1%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 3)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 25% of 4)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢0%14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up94% (won 100% of 102)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208FlaznorpprimmS-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20K——No $2.4M