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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)95% (70–4, n=74)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$88K$3.3M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)75% (167 of 222 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won96% of 76 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 33% of 3)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢0%17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up95% (won 100% of 72)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.