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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhfantasy7788nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)58% (21–15, n=36)53% (472–417, n=889)
Consensus PnL$856K$15K$886K$399K
Tracked asPM monthly #24was PM monthly #779PM monthly #19PM monthly #129
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position51% (67 of 131 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢0%—6% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)—53% (won 100% of 9)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)—35% (won 100% of 6)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—6% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhfantasy7788nigiri99
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $3.4K——Grizzlies $76K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $19K——Heat $14K
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.1K——Flames $6.2K