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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus | yalibb | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (13–8, n=21) | 52% (583–536, n=1119) | 88% (15–2, n=17) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $1.0M | $404K | $475K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #683 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (32 of 48 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 100% of 6) | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 0% | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 0% | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 67% (won 100% of 2) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus | yalibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $6.1K | Lions $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $7.9K | Vikings $7.1K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $8.7K | Chiefs $6.1K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $6.7K | Vikings $5.8K | — |