Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpplsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)70% (3024–1268, n=4292)33% (2–4, n=6)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$841K$518K-$1.5K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #9was PM monthly #684PM monthly #44
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (178 of 301 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 6% of 540)20% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)24% (won 38% of 322)60% (won 100% of 3)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 152)20% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 94% of 319)0%13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpplsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $624—Seahawks $56K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $16—Cowboys $283