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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CFFFFFFFSAkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market48% (600–648, n=1248)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL$856K$0$512K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #835PM monthly #18PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position53% (64 of 121 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢0%—6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)—36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)—50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CFFFFFFFSAkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $32K—Grizzlies $33K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $29K—Heat $7.5K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $260K—Avalanche $4.0K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $133KCavaliers $1.2K