PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x333e8f4fb0353ef31cf1a7d00789e1319381369b00gringo00CORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)95% (69–4, n=73)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (385–233, n=618)50% (13646–13770, n=27416)
Consensus PnL$10K$3.5M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #88PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus100% (19 of 19 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 149 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)0%9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢0%0%56% (won 99% of 214)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢0%100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 100% of 129)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 147)0%2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.