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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (288–313, n=601) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | -$11K | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 67% (133 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 253 at avg 53¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 27% of 41) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 62% of 79) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 75% of 68) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 89% of 65) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |