Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmS-WorksVanchalkenstein
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)75% (2552–856, n=3408)53% (348–313, n=661)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$3.7M$3.6M-$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #40PM monthly #68PM monthly #609
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Crypto −1 pts, n=46NBA −1 pts, n=134
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%53% of 658 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)5% (won 95% of 59)6% (won 14% of 145)10% (won 24% of 63)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)40% (won 99% of 512)16% (won 48% of 367)48% (won 49% of 315)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)50% (won 100% of 633)23% (won 60% of 509)33% (won 60% of 216)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)5% (won 100% of 65)55% (won 96% of 1235)10% (won 77% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.