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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | papaebal | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4513–3386, n=7899) | 46% (119–139, n=258) | 50% (1103–1116, n=2219) | 47% (13828–15322, n=29150) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $17K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #896 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 63% (43 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 132 at avg 53¢, ROI +43% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 9% (won 92% of 12) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 93% of 46) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 38% (won 90% of 50) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 18% (won 96% of 24) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | papaebal | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.8K | — | — | Lakers $3 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $12K | — | — | Quentin Halys $1.2K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $441 | — | — | Spurs $265 |