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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4516–3391, n=7907) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) | 75% (129–43, n=172) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $4.5M | $16K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #100 | was PM monthly #956 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (14 of 19 open) | 73% (110 of 151 open) | 77% (30 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 21% (won 4% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 70% (won 96% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $56 | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $117 | — | No $3.8K |