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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1primmSagand
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)77% (48–14, n=62)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$4.6M$3.7M$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #110PM monthly #40PM monthly #914
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)71% (67 of 94 open)no open consensus position82% (9 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%82% of 57 at avg 69¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)12% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)7% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)21% (won 92% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)60% (won 88% of 34)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1primmSagand
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45K——Yes $9.1K