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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1UpTheBluesWewuzzy
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)65% (892–472, n=1364)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)50% (9–9, n=18)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$4.6M$3.1M$2.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #97PM monthly #7PM monthly #488
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)78% (39 of 50 open)60% (65 of 109 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139—Elections −2 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%32% of 19 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)47% (won 11% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)11% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)21% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)21% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.