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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 95% (92–5, n=97) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $4.2M | $95K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #560 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 109 at avg 95¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 99% (won 98% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49K | — | Yes $9.9K |