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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | S-Works | Shady-Tool | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) | 83% (397–80, n=477) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $4.6M | $3.6M | -$34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #441 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (8 of 18 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | Soccer −17 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 431 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 4% (won 22% of 18) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 7% (won 55% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 4% (won 56% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 85% (won 93% of 366) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | S-Works | Shady-Tool |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.4M | Yes $653 |