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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | zwaaan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3325, n=7861) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) | 51% (125–118, n=243) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $4.8M | $14.8M | $430 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #257 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (15 of 24 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 51% (36 of 71 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | Crypto −5 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 141 at avg 51¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 23% (won 6% of 33) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 18% (won 19% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 27% (won 76% of 38) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 31% (won 89% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | zwaaan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $140K | — | Taylor Fritz $1.4K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | Yes $9 |