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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RN1tugator
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)63% (988–572, n=1560)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)13% (32–224, n=256)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.2M$14.8M$85K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #104PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #442
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)75% (100 of 133 open)58% (19 of 33 open)87% (82 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139—Crypto −34 pts, n=189
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%27% of 227 at avg 56¢, ROI −28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)4% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)74% (won 10% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)5% (won 36% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)18% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RN1tugator
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $374—Alexandra Eala $33K—