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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | juice-fruit | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market | 68% (316–146, n=462) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $152K | — | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #28 | PM monthly #160 | PM monthly #38 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | juice-fruit | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sopo: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal opposite sides · consensus Maria Lourdes Carle | Valentina Mediorreal $50 | — | — | Maria Lourdes Carle $5.2K |