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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677primmrandomrandomrandom
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)65% (53–28, n=81)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$3.2M$3.7M$144K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #7PM monthly #40was PM monthly #998
Sides with the consensus46% (12 of 26 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%69% of 112 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 95% of 59)12% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)6% (won 0% of 1)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 60% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 633)31% (won 57% of 35)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 65)35% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677primmrandomrandomrandom
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $9.9K——Yes $38K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $10K——No $1.8K