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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | pagliacci4 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 96% (1676–76, n=1752) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $3.2M | $11K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (12 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 96% (22 of 23 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 1675 at avg 92¢, ROI +5% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 0% of 3) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 0% (won 0% of 1) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 4% (won 92% of 64) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 96% (won 98% of 1607) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | pagliacci4 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $17 | — | No $9.1K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $42 | — | No $635 | — |