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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677omnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15489–15580, n=31069)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$3.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #2PM monthly #54PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)no open consensus position56% (72 of 128 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677omnibus-076daaprimm
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $268K—Dplus KIA $9.6K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $167—
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $141K—Magic $308—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $2.4K—
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K—Alice Tubello $14K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11K—Over $32—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $675
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $81—Yes $418—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $28—Yes $20—