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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677justbusiness11RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)45% (10–12, n=22)74% (26–9, n=35)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$5.3M$26K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #890PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (14 of 21 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (31 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%83% of 35 at avg 70¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)0%10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)6% (won 0% of 1)31% (won 64% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)65% (won 73% of 11)14% (won 80% of 5)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)18% (won 67% of 3)54% (won 95% of 19)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677justbusiness11RN1
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $500——Suns $1.7K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $266——Warriors $510