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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1wpj
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)42% (14–19, n=33)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #989
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)no open consensus position53% (16 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%36% of 28 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)39% (won 0% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)14% (won 50% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)25% (won 86% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1wpj
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez $17K—Zeynep Sonmez $89K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $1.3K—