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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | ndb1 | vtcchampion52 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | no settled market | 100% (6–0, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $391K | — | -$75K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #152 | was PM monthly #250 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (13 of 21 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | Esports −1 pts, n=230 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 42% of 238 at avg 43¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 43% (won 4% of 102) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 18% (won 33% of 43) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 14% (won 71% of 34) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 25% (won 98% of 59) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | ndb1 | vtcchampion52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | Kings $53K | — | — |