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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | HRAImail-.- | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | -$6.1K | — | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #450 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (9 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 7 at avg 36¢, ROI +76% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 0% | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | HRAImail-.- | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $55K | — | — | Jazz $10K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $169K | — | — | Magic $103K |