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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026joseph00677laidaodao
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (30–16, n=46)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$2.9M$5.3M$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #419PM monthly #3PM monthly #133
Sides with the consensus67% (18 of 27 open)69% (20 of 29 open)no open consensus position100% (8 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%73% of 37 at avg 71¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—12% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—6% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—65% (won 73% of 11)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—18% (won 67% of 3)70% (won 92% of 26)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026joseph00677laidaodao
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $45KJaguars $202K——
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7KCanadiens $26K——
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
opposite sides · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.6KNew Hampshire Wildcats $1.1K——
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29KRavens $1.3K——
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15KRavens $759——
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0KUTSA $103——