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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788HomeRunHazardpleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)46% (52–60, n=112)100% (3–0, n=3)54% (170–143, n=313)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$527K$260K$186K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #79PM monthly #8PM monthly #255
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position79% (31 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21——Elections ±0 pts, n=34
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%2% of 103 at avg 4¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)0%2% (won 100% of 3)98% (won 0% of 101)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)50% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 100% of 64)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)50% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 100% of 62)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)0%13% (won 100% of 20)1% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788HomeRunHazardpleaseletmealone
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $307—Trail Blazers $2.7K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90—Vikings $1.8K—