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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | e46m3 | primm | wpj | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (17–14, n=31) | 17% (156–789, n=945) | 75% (9–3, n=12) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$239K | $536K | $84K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #40 | was PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 74% (324 of 437 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 38% of 29 at avg 41¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 38% (won 0% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 21% (won 33% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 17% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 24% (won 86% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | e46m3 | primm | wpj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus No | No $173K | Yes $21 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $318 | — | — |