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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | e46m3 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (58–64, n=122) | 82% (9–2, n=11) | 44% (187–238, n=425) | 66% (472–241, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | -$279K | $93 | $44K | -$144K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 81% (13 of 16 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | e46m3 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W50 Yokohama: Sae Noguchi vs Sara Saito same side · consensus Sae Noguchi | — | — | Sae Noguchi $10 | Sae Noguchi $224 |