Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dubdubdub2ndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)100% (4–0, n=4)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$189K$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #86PM monthly #150
Sides with the consensus67% (18 of 27 open)no open consensus position74% (35 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 3 at avg 91¢, ROI +10%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)0%20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)0%24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)100% (won 100% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dubdubdub2ndb1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265K—No $208K