← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | no settled market | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 70% (170–73, n=243) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | — | $4.2M | -$96K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | — | PM monthly #139 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 57% (143 of 250 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 9% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 17% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 61% (won 99% of 77) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $49K | — | — | No $1.4K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $47 | No $205 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $214 | — | — | Yes $3.2K |