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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4joseph00677nehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)61% (4024–2617, n=6641)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$5.6M-$859K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—PM monthly #1PM monthly #633
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—12% (won 0% of 2)1% (won 20% of 92)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—6% (won 0% of 1)25% (won 44% of 2260)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—65% (won 73% of 11)40% (won 55% of 3534)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—18% (won 67% of 3)34% (won 87% of 3004)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4joseph00677nehcnehc
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45K——Yes $3.4K