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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4claudionetotraderFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)no settled market57% (1092–818, n=1910)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$87K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #67—PM monthly #720PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (171 of 227 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—14% (won 75% of 214)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—47% (won 97% of 694)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4claudionetotraderFlaznorp
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Arthur Rinderknech $2——Ben Shelton $2.7K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $1.0K——Alexandra Eala $12K