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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4RN1zwaaan
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)no settled market47% (14123–15612, n=29735)53% (123–110, n=233)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$14.8M$578
Tracked asPM monthly #67—PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position53% (19 of 36 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%53% of 135 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—10% (won 57% of 2538)21% (won 3% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—22% (won 94% of 5565)19% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—36% (won 99% of 9017)28% (won 76% of 38)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—33% (won 100% of 8250)31% (won 88% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4RN1zwaaan
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $1.0K—Alexandra Eala $41K—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37——Yes $10