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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4RN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)no settled market47% (14123–15612, n=29735)95% (13510–642, n=14152)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #67—PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #941
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position50% (17 of 34 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6828, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 6828 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—10% (won 57% of 2538)4% (won 72% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—22% (won 94% of 5565)9% (won 91% of 624)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—36% (won 99% of 9017)11% (won 97% of 758)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—33% (won 100% of 8250)76% (won 100% of 5207)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.