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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | allen114 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 71% (292–122, n=414) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | -$283K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #698 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (18 of 27 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 54% (42 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 292 at avg 82¢, ROI +6% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 3% (won 50% of 8) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 3% (won 75% of 8) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 16% (won 88% of 48) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 78% (won 98% of 228) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | allen114 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $45K | — | — | Jaguars $5.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | — | — | Jaguars $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | — | — | Ravens $1.2K |