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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1pvc975
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)99% (17396–260, n=17656)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$14.8M$87K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)58% (19 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Crypto ±0 pts, n=286
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2538)1% (won 10% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5565)0% (won 82% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)36% (won 99% of 9017)0% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8250)99% (won 100% of 10766)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1pvc975
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $374Alexandra Eala $33K—