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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | wowfarm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 68% (313–146, n=459) | no settled market | 100% (5–0, n=5) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | -$105K | — | $20 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #37 + pinned | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #541 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 68% (28 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 10) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 52% (won 100% of 46) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 30% (won 100% of 27) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 7% (won 100% of 6) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | wowfarm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $3.5K | Jessica Pegula $18K | — | — |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $3.9K | Elmer Moeller $8.8K | — | — |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | Under $18 | — | — |