Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Kaczkaprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)51% (438–424, n=862)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$12K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #997PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)60% (3 of 5 open)50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Esports +28 pts n=437, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=90, ROI +18%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%83% of 580 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)4% (won 69% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)23% (won 71% of 134)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)61% (won 87% of 356)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)11% (won 92% of 64)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Kaczkaprimm
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $77KSuns $316—