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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JudgeLance
Record (consensus markets)55% (4837–4036, n=8873)52% (47–44, n=91)
Consensus PnL$8.1M-$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #12PM monthly #505
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NBA −16 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)1% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)6% (won 50% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)71% (won 54% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)22% (won 87% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.