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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 | TKKnoallin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (58–64, n=122) | 55% (200–166, n=366) | no settled market | 57% (4–3, n=7) |
| Consensus PnL | -$279K | $227K | $2 | $1.2K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #154 | was PM monthly #992 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 74% (29 of 39 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 2% (won 100% of 3) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 43% (won 100% of 64) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 42% (won 100% of 62) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 13% (won 100% of 20) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 | TKKnoallin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | Vikings $1.8K | — | — |